Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary outright with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his four terms in the House. The vacancy arose when Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned in March to become Homeland Security Secretary. In the solidly Republican state, where Trump carried every county in recent cycles, Hern holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $6 million. Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas emerged from an August runoff but entered the general with minimal cash and little statewide profile. Traders assign Hern a 95 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and structural advantages for the GOP nominee; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$20,648 KL.
$20,648 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Hern (R)
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
4%
$20,648 KL.
$20,648 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Hern (R)
$14,066 KL.
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
$6,582 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary outright with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his four terms in the House. The vacancy arose when Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned in March to become Homeland Security Secretary. In the solidly Republican state, where Trump carried every county in recent cycles, Hern holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $6 million. Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas emerged from an August runoff but entered the general with minimal cash and little statewide profile. Traders assign Hern a 95 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and structural advantages for the GOP nominee; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,648Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary outright with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his four terms in the House. The vacancy arose when Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned in March to become Homeland Security Secretary. In the solidly Republican state, where Trump carried every county in recent cycles, Hern holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $6 million. Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas emerged from an August runoff but entered the general with minimal cash and little statewide profile. Traders assign Hern a 95 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and structural advantages for the GOP nominee; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$20,648Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary outright with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and strong name recognition from his four terms in the House. The vacancy arose when Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned in March to become Homeland Security Secretary. In the solidly Republican state, where Trump carried every county in recent cycles, Hern holds a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $6 million. Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas emerged from an August runoff but entered the general with minimal cash and little statewide profile. Traders assign Hern a 95 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and structural advantages for the GOP nominee; only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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