Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 6.5 points in 2024—and his decisive primary win. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting Finstad's incumbency advantage and prior double-digit margins. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who won his August 11 primary, has drawn national Democratic support and competitive fundraising, while highlighting town halls and issues like fiscal policy to appeal to voters in growing areas such as Rochester and Mankato. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Johnson adds some crossover attention, yet the district's fundamentals and Finstad's established record continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$42,354 KL.
$42,354 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
80%
Jake Johnson (D)
20%
$42,354 KL.
$42,354 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
$15,972 KL.
80%
Jake Johnson (D)
$26,382 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 6.5 points in 2024—and his decisive primary win. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting Finstad's incumbency advantage and prior double-digit margins. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who won his August 11 primary, has drawn national Democratic support and competitive fundraising, while highlighting town halls and issues like fiscal policy to appeal to voters in growing areas such as Rochester and Mankato. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Johnson adds some crossover attention, yet the district's fundamentals and Finstad's established record continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,354Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 6.5 points in 2024—and his decisive primary win. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting Finstad's incumbency advantage and prior double-digit margins. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who won his August 11 primary, has drawn national Democratic support and competitive fundraising, while highlighting town halls and issues like fiscal policy to appeal to voters in growing areas such as Rochester and Mankato. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Johnson adds some crossover attention, yet the district's fundamentals and Finstad's established record continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,354Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 6.5 points in 2024—and his decisive primary win. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or Solid Republican, reflecting Finstad's incumbency advantage and prior double-digit margins. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who won his August 11 primary, has drawn national Democratic support and competitive fundraising, while highlighting town halls and issues like fiscal policy to appeal to voters in growing areas such as Rochester and Mankato. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Johnson adds some crossover attention, yet the district's fundamentals and Finstad's established record continue to anchor trader consensus around an 80% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp