Wyoming's deep Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman at 96%. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis drew Hageman, who secured the GOP nomination in August with roughly 65% against multiple challengers and received early Trump endorsement. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 1970. Recent reports of Hageman declining a PBS debate have drawn criticism from Byrd without apparent movement in market pricing. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for the challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,782 KL.
$16,782 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,782 KL.
$16,782 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,127 KL.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's deep Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman at 96%. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis drew Hageman, who secured the GOP nomination in August with roughly 65% against multiple challengers and received early Trump endorsement. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 1970. Recent reports of Hageman declining a PBS debate have drawn criticism from Byrd without apparent movement in market pricing. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,782Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's deep Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman at 96%. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis drew Hageman, who secured the GOP nomination in August with roughly 65% against multiple challengers and received early Trump endorsement. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 1970. Recent reports of Hageman declining a PBS debate have drawn criticism from Byrd without apparent movement in market pricing. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$16,782Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's deep Republican lean, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Harriet Hageman at 96%. The open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis drew Hageman, who secured the GOP nomination in August with roughly 65% against multiple challengers and received early Trump endorsement. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have not won a Senate race since 1970. Recent reports of Hageman declining a PBS debate have drawn criticism from Byrd without apparent movement in market pricing. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited realistic pathways for the challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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