Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus that he will win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district, which stretches from the Canadian border through Whatcom, Skagit, Island, and San Juan counties into western Snohomish County, has favored Democrats for decades; Larsen captured 63.8 percent in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time Republican candidate, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$30,472 KL.
$30,472 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
96%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$30,472 KL.
$30,472 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 KL.
96%
Edwin Feller (R)
$17,315 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus that he will win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district, which stretches from the Canadian border through Whatcom, Skagit, Island, and San Juan counties into western Snohomish County, has favored Democrats for decades; Larsen captured 63.8 percent in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time Republican candidate, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,472Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus that he will win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district, which stretches from the Canadian border through Whatcom, Skagit, Island, and San Juan counties into western Snohomish County, has favored Democrats for decades; Larsen captured 63.8 percent in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time Republican candidate, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,472Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus that he will win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district, which stretches from the Canadian border through Whatcom, Skagit, Island, and San Juan counties into western Snohomish County, has favored Democrats for decades; Larsen captured 63.8 percent in 2024 and advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Edwin Feller, an 83-year-old first-time Republican candidate, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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