Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic performance in federal contests since 2002, her role as incumbent lieutenant governor, and her August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show her leading Republican nominee Michele Tafoya by roughly four points among likely voters, though several surveys place the contest within the margin of error. Tafoya has focused attacks on state welfare fraud scandals occurring during Flanagan's tenure, arguing they reflect broader leadership failures. Traders appear to weigh Minnesota's structural Democratic advantages and Flanagan's established name recognition more heavily than short-term polling movement. Late developments such as intensified fraud scrutiny, shifts in turnout among independents, or national political events before November 3 could still narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$68,705 KL.
$68,705 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,705 KL.
$68,705 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 KL.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,656 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic performance in federal contests since 2002, her role as incumbent lieutenant governor, and her August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show her leading Republican nominee Michele Tafoya by roughly four points among likely voters, though several surveys place the contest within the margin of error. Tafoya has focused attacks on state welfare fraud scandals occurring during Flanagan's tenure, arguing they reflect broader leadership failures. Traders appear to weigh Minnesota's structural Democratic advantages and Flanagan's established name recognition more heavily than short-term polling movement. Late developments such as intensified fraud scrutiny, shifts in turnout among independents, or national political events before November 3 could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$68,705Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic performance in federal contests since 2002, her role as incumbent lieutenant governor, and her August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show her leading Republican nominee Michele Tafoya by roughly four points among likely voters, though several surveys place the contest within the margin of error. Tafoya has focused attacks on state welfare fraud scandals occurring during Flanagan's tenure, arguing they reflect broader leadership failures. Traders appear to weigh Minnesota's structural Democratic advantages and Flanagan's established name recognition more heavily than short-term polling movement. Late developments such as intensified fraud scrutiny, shifts in turnout among independents, or national political events before November 3 could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$68,705Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's consistent Democratic performance in federal contests since 2002, her role as incumbent lieutenant governor, and her August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show her leading Republican nominee Michele Tafoya by roughly four points among likely voters, though several surveys place the contest within the margin of error. Tafoya has focused attacks on state welfare fraud scandals occurring during Flanagan's tenure, arguing they reflect broader leadership failures. Traders appear to weigh Minnesota's structural Democratic advantages and Flanagan's established name recognition more heavily than short-term polling movement. Late developments such as intensified fraud scrutiny, shifts in turnout among independents, or national political events before November 3 could still narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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