Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton remains a statistical dead heat, with recent polling averages showing the candidates within a point or two of each other among likely voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge has funded extensive outreach that has consolidated Democratic support while improving his standing among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Paxton secured unified Republican backing after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff but continues to face unfavorable personal ratings tied to prior legal matters. Demographic divides on gender, age, and ethnicity, combined with undecided voters and shifting midterm turnout patterns, sustain the narrow margins. Scheduled debates in September and October, along with continued advertising and national political currents, represent key variables that could widen or close the gap before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$1,042,048 KL.
$1,042,048 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
51%
$1,042,048 KL.
$1,042,048 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$477,790 KL.
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$564,258 KL.
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton remains a statistical dead heat, with recent polling averages showing the candidates within a point or two of each other among likely voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge has funded extensive outreach that has consolidated Democratic support while improving his standing among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Paxton secured unified Republican backing after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff but continues to face unfavorable personal ratings tied to prior legal matters. Demographic divides on gender, age, and ethnicity, combined with undecided voters and shifting midterm turnout patterns, sustain the narrow margins. Scheduled debates in September and October, along with continued advertising and national political currents, represent key variables that could widen or close the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,042,048Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton remains a statistical dead heat, with recent polling averages showing the candidates within a point or two of each other among likely voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge has funded extensive outreach that has consolidated Democratic support while improving his standing among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Paxton secured unified Republican backing after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff but continues to face unfavorable personal ratings tied to prior legal matters. Demographic divides on gender, age, and ethnicity, combined with undecided voters and shifting midterm turnout patterns, sustain the narrow margins. Scheduled debates in September and October, along with continued advertising and national political currents, represent key variables that could widen or close the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$1,042,048Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Senate race between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton remains a statistical dead heat, with recent polling averages showing the candidates within a point or two of each other among likely voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge has funded extensive outreach that has consolidated Democratic support while improving his standing among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Paxton secured unified Republican backing after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May runoff but continues to face unfavorable personal ratings tied to prior legal matters. Demographic divides on gender, age, and ethnicity, combined with undecided voters and shifting midterm turnout patterns, sustain the narrow margins. Scheduled debates in September and October, along with continued advertising and national political currents, represent key variables that could widen or close the gap before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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