**Abdul El-Sayed holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 3 Michigan Senate race after narrowly winning the Democratic primary on August 4 with 48.5% against Rep. Haley Stevens.** The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform emphasizing healthcare access and cost-of-living issues against former Rep. Mike Rogers’ emphasis on experience and national security. Aggregated polls through early September show a statistical tie or narrow El-Sayed edge of 1–3 points among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-D ratings from most forecasters. Recent polling volatility, strong fundraising by both nominees, and intra-Republican commentary from figures like Tucker Carlson questioning Rogers’ positioning have kept the race competitive. Market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of El-Sayed’s structural advantages in Democratic-leaning areas alongside the challenges of unifying the party base in a state Trump carried in 2024.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$713,808 KL.
$713,808 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
64%
Mike Rogers (R)
37%
$713,808 KL.
$713,808 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$393,383 KL.
64%
Mike Rogers (R)
$320,425 KL.
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Abdul El-Sayed holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 3 Michigan Senate race after narrowly winning the Democratic primary on August 4 with 48.5% against Rep. Haley Stevens.** The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform emphasizing healthcare access and cost-of-living issues against former Rep. Mike Rogers’ emphasis on experience and national security. Aggregated polls through early September show a statistical tie or narrow El-Sayed edge of 1–3 points among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-D ratings from most forecasters. Recent polling volatility, strong fundraising by both nominees, and intra-Republican commentary from figures like Tucker Carlson questioning Rogers’ positioning have kept the race competitive. Market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of El-Sayed’s structural advantages in Democratic-leaning areas alongside the challenges of unifying the party base in a state Trump carried in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$713,808Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Abdul El-Sayed holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 3 Michigan Senate race after narrowly winning the Democratic primary on August 4 with 48.5% against Rep. Haley Stevens.** The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform emphasizing healthcare access and cost-of-living issues against former Rep. Mike Rogers’ emphasis on experience and national security. Aggregated polls through early September show a statistical tie or narrow El-Sayed edge of 1–3 points among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-D ratings from most forecasters. Recent polling volatility, strong fundraising by both nominees, and intra-Republican commentary from figures like Tucker Carlson questioning Rogers’ positioning have kept the race competitive. Market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of El-Sayed’s structural advantages in Democratic-leaning areas alongside the challenges of unifying the party base in a state Trump carried in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$713,808Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Abdul El-Sayed holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 3 Michigan Senate race after narrowly winning the Democratic primary on August 4 with 48.5% against Rep. Haley Stevens.** The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, features El-Sayed’s progressive platform emphasizing healthcare access and cost-of-living issues against former Rep. Mike Rogers’ emphasis on experience and national security. Aggregated polls through early September show a statistical tie or narrow El-Sayed edge of 1–3 points among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-D ratings from most forecasters. Recent polling volatility, strong fundraising by both nominees, and intra-Republican commentary from figures like Tucker Carlson questioning Rogers’ positioning have kept the race competitive. Market pricing reflects traders’ assessment of El-Sayed’s structural advantages in Democratic-leaning areas alongside the challenges of unifying the party base in a state Trump carried in 2024.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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