Incumbent Tom Emmer's commanding position in the Minnesota 6th congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2015, role as House Majority Whip, and decisive 80.9% victory in the August 2026 Republican primary. The district's consistent Republican lean, shown by double-digit Trump margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with a Chapin-commissioned August poll showing Emmer ahead by 10 points. Limited Democratic resources and no major recent polling shifts or national developments favoring a flip reinforce trader consensus. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health issue for Emmer, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$42,538 KL.
$42,538 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
10%
$42,538 KL.
$42,538 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,800 KL.
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
$18,738 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer's commanding position in the Minnesota 6th congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2015, role as House Majority Whip, and decisive 80.9% victory in the August 2026 Republican primary. The district's consistent Republican lean, shown by double-digit Trump margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with a Chapin-commissioned August poll showing Emmer ahead by 10 points. Limited Democratic resources and no major recent polling shifts or national developments favoring a flip reinforce trader consensus. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health issue for Emmer, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,538Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Emmer's commanding position in the Minnesota 6th congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2015, role as House Majority Whip, and decisive 80.9% victory in the August 2026 Republican primary. The district's consistent Republican lean, shown by double-digit Trump margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with a Chapin-commissioned August poll showing Emmer ahead by 10 points. Limited Democratic resources and no major recent polling shifts or national developments favoring a flip reinforce trader consensus. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health issue for Emmer, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,538Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tom Emmer's commanding position in the Minnesota 6th congressional district stems from his long tenure since 2015, role as House Majority Whip, and decisive 80.9% victory in the August 2026 Republican primary. The district's consistent Republican lean, shown by double-digit Trump margins in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with a Chapin-commissioned August poll showing Emmer ahead by 10 points. Limited Democratic resources and no major recent polling shifts or national developments favoring a flip reinforce trader consensus. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health issue for Emmer, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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