Recent tensions over primary rules have kept the first-round outcome closely contested among social-democratic contenders. Raphaël Glucksmann and Olivier Faure have clashed publicly in early September over participation fees set at 15 euros and potential inclusion of additional figures such as François Ruffin, with Glucksmann insisting rules approved by militants must stand unchanged ahead of the October 9-10 electronic vote. This dispute, combined with a fragmented field that includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, has left trader consensus reflecting uncertainty about turnout among PS and Place publique sympathizers and the absence of a dominant polling leader. Scheduled debates and the September 15 candidate deadline could still shift positioning before first-round ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPhilippe Brun 43%
Raphaël Glucksmann 37%
Jérôme Guedj 35%
Olivier Faure 26%

Philippe Brun
43%

Raphaël Glucksmann
37%

Jérôme Guedj
35%

Olivier Faure
26%

Emmanuel Maurel
23%

Ségolène Royal
19%
Philippe Brun 43%
Raphaël Glucksmann 37%
Jérôme Guedj 35%
Olivier Faure 26%

Philippe Brun
43%

Raphaël Glucksmann
37%

Jérôme Guedj
35%

Olivier Faure
26%

Emmanuel Maurel
23%

Ségolène Royal
19%
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent tensions over primary rules have kept the first-round outcome closely contested among social-democratic contenders. Raphaël Glucksmann and Olivier Faure have clashed publicly in early September over participation fees set at 15 euros and potential inclusion of additional figures such as François Ruffin, with Glucksmann insisting rules approved by militants must stand unchanged ahead of the October 9-10 electronic vote. This dispute, combined with a fragmented field that includes Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, has left trader consensus reflecting uncertainty about turnout among PS and Place publique sympathizers and the absence of a dominant polling leader. Scheduled debates and the September 15 candidate deadline could still shift positioning before first-round ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp