Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the GOP vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Harris’s repeated double-digit general election margins. Dan Schwartz, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a competitive June primary, trails significantly in available polling and fundraising. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave that could alter turnout, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$59,571 KL.
$59,571 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
94%
Dan Schwartz (D)
7%
$59,571 KL.
$59,571 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Andy Harris (R)
$33,551 KL.
94%
Dan Schwartz (D)
$26,019 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the GOP vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Harris’s repeated double-digit general election margins. Dan Schwartz, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a competitive June primary, trails significantly in available polling and fundraising. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave that could alter turnout, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,571Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the GOP vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Harris’s repeated double-digit general election margins. Dan Schwartz, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a competitive June primary, trails significantly in available polling and fundraising. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave that could alter turnout, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$59,571Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured over 80 percent of the GOP vote. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Harris’s repeated double-digit general election margins. Dan Schwartz, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a competitive June primary, trails significantly in available polling and fundraising. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges include a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political wave that could alter turnout, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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