Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichelle Bolsonaro 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
Bia Kicis 1.4%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,214 KL.
$28,214 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
83%
Leila do Vôlei
3%
Bia Kicis
1%
Erika Kokay
1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Marley
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 83%
Leila do Vôlei 2.5%
Bia Kicis 1.4%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,214 KL.
$28,214 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
$12,178 KL.
83%
Leila do Vôlei
$4,157 KL.
3%
Bia Kicis
$4,333 KL.
1%
Erika Kokay
$2,021 KL.
1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$794 KL.
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$801 KL.
<1%
David Horn
$505 KL.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$795 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$674 KL.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$556 KL.
<1%
Marley
$381 KL.
<1%
Tiago
$489 KL.
<1%
Zanata
$530 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,214Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$28,214Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District’s two-seat Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads ahead of the October 4, 2026, election. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, conducted in early September, show her with 26% support—well ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 17%, Erika Kokay (PT) at 13-15%, and Bia Kicis (PL) at 11-17%—reflecting her strong name recognition and backing from the PL party apparatus. The second seat remains contested within the margin of error among the top contenders, while lower-polling candidates trail significantly. Earlier internal party tensions in mid-2026 briefly raised questions about her candidacy, but confirmed registration and subsequent polling gains have reinforced her frontrunner status among traders assessing vote concentration and turnout patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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