Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 KL.
$10,325 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 KL.
$10,325 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,107 KL.
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$402 KL.
1%
Zema
$399 KL.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$334 KL.
<1%
Renan Santos
$329 KL.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$344 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$344 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$333 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$366 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$421 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$344 KL.
<1%
Samara
$301 KL.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$300 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,325Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$10,325Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in Pernambuco for the October 4 first-round presidential vote due to sustained regional backing in the Northeast, where recent polls from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data show him at 54-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low-to-mid 20s and all other listed candidates below 5%. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.5% odds aligns with his steady approval ratings near 60% in the state and limited inroads by challengers despite national polarization. Factors reinforcing this include historical voting patterns favoring PT candidates and consistent leads exceeding 20 points across multiple surveys. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign developments in the final weeks before the ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp