Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarcelo Crivella 56.8%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Pedro Paulo 13.7%
Carlos Jordy 14%
$53,406 KL.
$53,406 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
57%
Benedita da Silva
16%
Pedro Paulo
14%
Carlos Jordy
14%
Carlos Portinho
4%
Monica Benicio
1%
Waguinho
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Marcelo Crivella 56.8%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Pedro Paulo 13.7%
Carlos Jordy 14%
$53,406 KL.
$53,406 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$7,811 KL.
57%
Benedita da Silva
$9,522 KL.
16%
Pedro Paulo
$7,807 KL.
14%
Carlos Jordy
$11,166 KL.
14%
Carlos Portinho
$5,369 KL.
4%
Monica Benicio
$2,052 KL.
1%
Waguinho
$1,319 KL.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$896 KL.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,292 KL.
<1%
André Monteiro
$2,185 KL.
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,128 KL.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 KL.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 KL.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 KL.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 KL.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$53,406Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$53,406Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) leading the race for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds a narrow or tied edge for second place over a cluster of rivals including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL). Multiple surveys register high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40 percent combined, sustaining volatility in second-place positioning. The official campaign, underway since mid-August, features limited separation among these contenders ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates. This polling pattern underpins the current trader consensus favoring Crivella for second while assigning lower probabilities to the trailing group.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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