Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Ceará Senate election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates for initial vote preference. As the incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from established name recognition, formal party convention backing in early August, and alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas (PT). Polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August and early September show him ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the top spot, with other candidates trailing further behind. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects Cid’s structural advantages in a contest for two seats, though the race for second place remains more fluid ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 3.9%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 KL.
$23,581 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
77%
Capitão Wagner
11%
Luizianne
7%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 3.9%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 KL.
$23,581 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,837 KL.
77%
Capitão Wagner
$2,715 KL.
11%
Luizianne
$1,258 KL.
7%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 KL.
1%
Lino Alves
$840 KL.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 KL.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 KL.
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Ceará Senate election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates for initial vote preference. As the incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from established name recognition, formal party convention backing in early August, and alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas (PT). Polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August and early September show him ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the top spot, with other candidates trailing further behind. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects Cid’s structural advantages in a contest for two seats, though the race for second place remains more fluid ahead of the vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,581Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Ceará Senate election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates for initial vote preference. As the incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from established name recognition, formal party convention backing in early August, and alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas (PT). Polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August and early September show him ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the top spot, with other candidates trailing further behind. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects Cid’s structural advantages in a contest for two seats, though the race for second place remains more fluid ahead of the vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$23,581Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Ceará Senate election due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates for initial vote preference. As the incumbent senator and former governor, he benefits from established name recognition, formal party convention backing in early August, and alignment with the state governing coalition supporting Elmano de Freitas (PT). Polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August and early September show him ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) for the top spot, with other candidates trailing further behind. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects Cid’s structural advantages in a contest for two seats, though the race for second place remains more fluid ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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