Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEduardo Braga 82%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.3%
Wilson Lima 2.6%
Plinio Valério 1.6%
$37,719 KL.
$37,719 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
82%
Capitão Alberto Neto
11%
Wilson Lima
3%
Plinio Valério
2%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 82%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.3%
Wilson Lima 2.6%
Plinio Valério 1.6%
$37,719 KL.
$37,719 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$20,113 KL.
82%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,724 KL.
11%
Wilson Lima
$3,513 KL.
3%
Plinio Valério
$3,517 KL.
2%
Dailson Corrêa
$600 KL.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 KL.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 KL.
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 KL.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,719Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$37,719Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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