Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Ceará, leaving a fragmented contest for the second position among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and Alcides Fernandes. Multiple surveys indicate Wagner holding a narrow edge in second-vote scenarios, consistent with his position in the market, while Luizianne and others trail closely amid 15-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter choice of two candidates per ballot amplifies uncertainty around preference ordering, with no major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or campaign events reported since early August that have shifted the balance. This polling stability and structural dynamics sustain tight implied probabilities for second place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCapitão Wagner 34%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 24%
Alcides Fernandes 4.0%
$36,524 KL.
$36,524 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
34%
Luizianne
25%
Cid Gomes
24%
Alcides Fernandes
4%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 34%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 24%
Alcides Fernandes 4.0%
$36,524 KL.
$36,524 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 KL.
34%
Luizianne
$11,623 KL.
25%
Cid Gomes
$4,910 KL.
24%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 KL.
4%
Lino Alves
$942 KL.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 KL.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 KL.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Ceará, leaving a fragmented contest for the second position among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and Alcides Fernandes. Multiple surveys indicate Wagner holding a narrow edge in second-vote scenarios, consistent with his position in the market, while Luizianne and others trail closely amid 15-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter choice of two candidates per ballot amplifies uncertainty around preference ordering, with no major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or campaign events reported since early August that have shifted the balance. This polling stability and structural dynamics sustain tight implied probabilities for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,524Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Ceará, leaving a fragmented contest for the second position among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and Alcides Fernandes. Multiple surveys indicate Wagner holding a narrow edge in second-vote scenarios, consistent with his position in the market, while Luizianne and others trail closely amid 15-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter choice of two candidates per ballot amplifies uncertainty around preference ordering, with no major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or campaign events reported since early August that have shifted the balance. This polling stability and structural dynamics sustain tight implied probabilities for second place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$36,524Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Ceará, leaving a fragmented contest for the second position among Capitão Wagner, Luizianne Lins, and Alcides Fernandes. Multiple surveys indicate Wagner holding a narrow edge in second-vote scenarios, consistent with his position in the market, while Luizianne and others trail closely amid 15-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter choice of two candidates per ballot amplifies uncertainty around preference ordering, with no major candidate withdrawals, endorsements, or campaign events reported since early August that have shifted the balance. This polling stability and structural dynamics sustain tight implied probabilities for second place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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