Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bahia governorship due to his established state-level organization, approval ratings around 50 percent in recent surveys, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state with strong PT roots. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the main challenger and former Salvador mayor, trails despite leading or tying in several late-August and September polls that place the race within a few points or show him ahead on valid votes; minor candidates register negligible support. The contest, a rematch of the 2022 runoff, occurs alongside the presidential race on October 4, with any runoff on October 25. Recent campaign events, including canceled debates and alignment shifts tied to national politics, have not produced decisive movement, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJerônimo Rodrigues 62%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,070 KL.
$154,070 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
62%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 62%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,070 KL.
$154,070 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$50,821 KL.
62%
ACM Neto
$61,125 KL.
38%
João Roma
$5,186 KL.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 KL.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 KL.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 KL.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bahia governorship due to his established state-level organization, approval ratings around 50 percent in recent surveys, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state with strong PT roots. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the main challenger and former Salvador mayor, trails despite leading or tying in several late-August and September polls that place the race within a few points or show him ahead on valid votes; minor candidates register negligible support. The contest, a rematch of the 2022 runoff, occurs alongside the presidential race on October 4, with any runoff on October 25. Recent campaign events, including canceled debates and alignment shifts tied to national politics, have not produced decisive movement, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and undecided voters.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$154,070Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bahia governorship due to his established state-level organization, approval ratings around 50 percent in recent surveys, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state with strong PT roots. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the main challenger and former Salvador mayor, trails despite leading or tying in several late-August and September polls that place the race within a few points or show him ahead on valid votes; minor candidates register negligible support. The contest, a rematch of the 2022 runoff, occurs alongside the presidential race on October 4, with any runoff on October 25. Recent campaign events, including canceled debates and alignment shifts tied to national politics, have not produced decisive movement, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and undecided voters.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$154,070Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bahia governorship due to his established state-level organization, approval ratings around 50 percent in recent surveys, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a state with strong PT roots. ACM Neto of União Brasil, the main challenger and former Salvador mayor, trails despite leading or tying in several late-August and September polls that place the race within a few points or show him ahead on valid votes; minor candidates register negligible support. The contest, a rematch of the 2022 runoff, occurs alongside the presidential race on October 4, with any runoff on October 25. Recent campaign events, including canceled debates and alignment shifts tied to national politics, have not produced decisive movement, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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