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icon for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

icon for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

$1,368,060 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,368,060 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30

$9,960 Обс.

1%

March 31

$136 Обс.

22%

October 31

$3,839 Обс.

6%

December 31

$512,908 Обс.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a US-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control, with further phased withdrawals tied explicitly to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament rather than fixed deadlines. The security annex conditions any broader pullback on third-party confirmation of cleared militant infrastructure and sustained LAF operational dominance south of the river. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that forces will retain forward positions to block Hezbollah reconstitution, while limited LAF confiscations in pilot areas have advanced slowly amid reported coordination concerns. Ongoing artillery and air activity in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah rejection of the framework, and the absence of a comprehensive ceasefire implementation continue to shape trader assessments of near-term withdrawal timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,368,060
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a US-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that designates two small pilot zones—one north and one south of the Litani River—for initial IDF redeployment to Lebanese Armed Forces control, with further phased withdrawals tied explicitly to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament rather than fixed deadlines. The security annex conditions any broader pullback on third-party confirmation of cleared militant infrastructure and sustained LAF operational dominance south of the river. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that forces will retain forward positions to block Hezbollah reconstitution, while limited LAF confiscations in pilot areas have advanced slowly amid reported coordination concerns. Ongoing artillery and air activity in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah rejection of the framework, and the absence of a comprehensive ceasefire implementation continue to shape trader assessments of near-term withdrawal timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,368,060
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «March 31» з 22%, далі «December 31» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?» згенерував $1.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?» — «March 31» з 22%. Наступний — «December 31» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.