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icon for Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

icon for Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

$7,098,769 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$7,098,769 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30

$382,290 Обс.

3%

October 31

$7,859 Обс.

9%

December 31

$589,412 Обс.

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since succeeding his father as Iran’s supreme leader following the February 28, 2026 airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei. He has released no verified video, audio, or in-person appearance despite issuing decrees, overseeing military appointments, and navigating an ongoing conflict and economic pressures. Iranian officials cite security risks and recovery from reported injuries as reasons for the seclusion, while analysts note a shift toward more collective decision-making. Recent regime efforts to address speculation include undated video clips released by state media in August and September 2026 and claims from insiders about private activities, such as attendance at burial rites. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether security concerns, health factors, or institutional preferences will delay or prevent a confirmed public appearance amid scheduled religious observances or policy milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$7,098,769
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since succeeding his father as Iran’s supreme leader following the February 28, 2026 airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei. He has released no verified video, audio, or in-person appearance despite issuing decrees, overseeing military appointments, and navigating an ongoing conflict and economic pressures. Iranian officials cite security risks and recovery from reported injuries as reasons for the seclusion, while analysts note a shift toward more collective decision-making. Recent regime efforts to address speculation include undated video clips released by state media in August and September 2026 and claims from insiders about private activities, such as attendance at burial rites. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether security concerns, health factors, or institutional preferences will delay or prevent a confirmed public appearance amid scheduled religious observances or policy milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$7,098,769
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 14 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 21%, далі «October 31» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» згенерував $7.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?», перегляньте 14 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» — «December 31» з 21%. Наступний — «October 31» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.