Recent polling and security developments have kept Likud positioned for a modest Knesset seat total, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to the 20-24 range. The party's standing reflects ongoing public assessment of its management of regional conflicts, coalition negotiations, and economic pressures amid fragmented opposition votes. Netanyahu's leadership continues to face scrutiny from legal cases and voter sentiment in key demographics, while smaller parties and turnout patterns add variability. Scheduled diplomatic moves or shifts in battleground support could widen or narrow projected outcomes before election day. The narrow spread between the leading bins highlights persistent uncertainty in the current environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено20-24 34%
25-29 25%
<20 21.6%
30-34 11%
$200,164 Обс.
$200,164 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
<20
22%
20-24
34%
25-29
25%
30-34
11%
35+
2%
20-24 34%
25-29 25%
<20 21.6%
30-34 11%
$200,164 Обс.
$200,164 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
<20
$57,895 Обс.
22%
20-24
$24,639 Обс.
34%
25-29
$44,735 Обс.
25%
30-34
$57,347 Обс.
11%
35+
$15,547 Обс.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling and security developments have kept Likud positioned for a modest Knesset seat total, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to the 20-24 range. The party's standing reflects ongoing public assessment of its management of regional conflicts, coalition negotiations, and economic pressures amid fragmented opposition votes. Netanyahu's leadership continues to face scrutiny from legal cases and voter sentiment in key demographics, while smaller parties and turnout patterns add variability. Scheduled diplomatic moves or shifts in battleground support could widen or narrow projected outcomes before election day. The narrow spread between the leading bins highlights persistent uncertainty in the current environment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$200,164Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling and security developments have kept Likud positioned for a modest Knesset seat total, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to the 20-24 range. The party's standing reflects ongoing public assessment of its management of regional conflicts, coalition negotiations, and economic pressures amid fragmented opposition votes. Netanyahu's leadership continues to face scrutiny from legal cases and voter sentiment in key demographics, while smaller parties and turnout patterns add variability. Scheduled diplomatic moves or shifts in battleground support could widen or narrow projected outcomes before election day. The narrow spread between the leading bins highlights persistent uncertainty in the current environment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$200,164Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and security developments have kept Likud positioned for a modest Knesset seat total, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to the 20-24 range. The party's standing reflects ongoing public assessment of its management of regional conflicts, coalition negotiations, and economic pressures amid fragmented opposition votes. Netanyahu's leadership continues to face scrutiny from legal cases and voter sentiment in key demographics, while smaller parties and turnout patterns add variability. Scheduled diplomatic moves or shifts in battleground support could widen or narrow projected outcomes before election day. The narrow spread between the leading bins highlights persistent uncertainty in the current environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання