Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–25 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 18–21% of the vote, amid a fragmented field where small-party threshold crossings and undecided voters continue to shift outcomes. Candidate-list finalization in early September produced modest gains for Yashar in some surveys while Likud and B’Yachad fluctuated, leaving both pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Security priorities, Haredi draft debates, and coalition arithmetic remain key voter concerns driving the narrow range. With the October 27 election weeks away, late polling movements or turnout differentials could still separate the leading buckets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
16-18% 36%
18-20% 35%
24%+ 33%
20-22% 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
29%
16-18%
36%
18-20%
35%
20-22%
32%
22-24%
32%
24%+
33%
16-18% 36%
18-20% 35%
24%+ 33%
20-22% 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$0 Обс.
29%
16-18%
$0 Обс.
36%
18-20%
$0 Обс.
35%
20-22%
$0 Обс.
32%
22-24%
$0 Обс.
32%
24%+
$0 Обс.
33%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–25 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 18–21% of the vote, amid a fragmented field where small-party threshold crossings and undecided voters continue to shift outcomes. Candidate-list finalization in early September produced modest gains for Yashar in some surveys while Likud and B’Yachad fluctuated, leaving both pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Security priorities, Haredi draft debates, and coalition arithmetic remain key voter concerns driving the narrow range. With the October 27 election weeks away, late polling movements or turnout differentials could still separate the leading buckets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–25 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 18–21% of the vote, amid a fragmented field where small-party threshold crossings and undecided voters continue to shift outcomes. Candidate-list finalization in early September produced modest gains for Yashar in some surveys while Likud and B’Yachad fluctuated, leaving both pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Security priorities, Haredi draft debates, and coalition arithmetic remain key voter concerns driving the narrow range. With the October 27 election weeks away, late polling movements or turnout differentials could still separate the leading buckets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–25 Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 18–21% of the vote, amid a fragmented field where small-party threshold crossings and undecided voters continue to shift outcomes. Candidate-list finalization in early September produced modest gains for Yashar in some surveys while Likud and B’Yachad fluctuated, leaving both pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs short of a 61-seat majority. Security priorities, Haredi draft debates, and coalition arithmetic remain key voter concerns driving the narrow range. With the October 27 election weeks away, late polling movements or turnout differentials could still separate the leading buckets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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