Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party, is polling at around seven Knesset seats in recent surveys for the October 27 election, equivalent to roughly 6% of the national vote. This level reflects ongoing voter attrition from its 11-seat 2022 result, driven by debates over Haredi draft exemptions and competition within the right-wing bloc for traditional supporters. Recent candidate list finalization, featuring a reserve officer in a high slot, has produced only modest adjustments in polling without clear upward momentum. Current trader pricing places the highest implied probability on Shas finishing below 6%, aligning with the stable survey range of 5.8–6.5% amid a fragmented electorate and limited signs of late consolidation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<6% 52%
9%+ 41%
6-7% 30%
7-8% 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
52%
6-7%
30%
7-8%
30%
8-9%
29%
9%+
41%
<6% 52%
9%+ 41%
6-7% 30%
7-8% 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
$19 Обс.
52%
6-7%
$0 Обс.
30%
7-8%
$0 Обс.
30%
8-9%
$0 Обс.
29%
9%+
$0 Обс.
41%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party, is polling at around seven Knesset seats in recent surveys for the October 27 election, equivalent to roughly 6% of the national vote. This level reflects ongoing voter attrition from its 11-seat 2022 result, driven by debates over Haredi draft exemptions and competition within the right-wing bloc for traditional supporters. Recent candidate list finalization, featuring a reserve officer in a high slot, has produced only modest adjustments in polling without clear upward momentum. Current trader pricing places the highest implied probability on Shas finishing below 6%, aligning with the stable survey range of 5.8–6.5% amid a fragmented electorate and limited signs of late consolidation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$19Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party, is polling at around seven Knesset seats in recent surveys for the October 27 election, equivalent to roughly 6% of the national vote. This level reflects ongoing voter attrition from its 11-seat 2022 result, driven by debates over Haredi draft exemptions and competition within the right-wing bloc for traditional supporters. Recent candidate list finalization, featuring a reserve officer in a high slot, has produced only modest adjustments in polling without clear upward momentum. Current trader pricing places the highest implied probability on Shas finishing below 6%, aligning with the stable survey range of 5.8–6.5% amid a fragmented electorate and limited signs of late consolidation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$19Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party, is polling at around seven Knesset seats in recent surveys for the October 27 election, equivalent to roughly 6% of the national vote. This level reflects ongoing voter attrition from its 11-seat 2022 result, driven by debates over Haredi draft exemptions and competition within the right-wing bloc for traditional supporters. Recent candidate list finalization, featuring a reserve officer in a high slot, has produced only modest adjustments in polling without clear upward momentum. Current trader pricing places the highest implied probability on Shas finishing below 6%, aligning with the stable survey range of 5.8–6.5% amid a fragmented electorate and limited signs of late consolidation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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