Ra'am's polling has stabilized near five seats in recent surveys ahead of the October 27 election, placing its projected vote share most often in the 4-4.75% band that leads trader pricing. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the reconstituted Joint List, while adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate as a technical partner to broaden its appeal. A surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and its separation from the Southern Islamic Movement have been finalized, positioning Ra'am as the more pragmatic Arab option open to coalition talks. Multiple right-wing petitions to disqualify the list remain before the Central Elections Committee, though similar challenges have historically failed at the High Court. These factors, alongside steady Arab turnout expectations, anchor the current market distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4-4.75% 36%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 18%
<3.25% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
15%
3.25-4%
18%
4-4.75%
36%
4.75-5.5%
21%
5.5%+
20%
4-4.75% 36%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 18%
<3.25% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
$344 Обс.
15%
3.25-4%
$293 Обс.
18%
4-4.75%
$1,073 Обс.
36%
4.75-5.5%
$207 Обс.
21%
5.5%+
$191 Обс.
20%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Ra'am's polling has stabilized near five seats in recent surveys ahead of the October 27 election, placing its projected vote share most often in the 4-4.75% band that leads trader pricing. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the reconstituted Joint List, while adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate as a technical partner to broaden its appeal. A surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and its separation from the Southern Islamic Movement have been finalized, positioning Ra'am as the more pragmatic Arab option open to coalition talks. Multiple right-wing petitions to disqualify the list remain before the Central Elections Committee, though similar challenges have historically failed at the High Court. These factors, alongside steady Arab turnout expectations, anchor the current market distribution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,109Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Ra'am's polling has stabilized near five seats in recent surveys ahead of the October 27 election, placing its projected vote share most often in the 4-4.75% band that leads trader pricing. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the reconstituted Joint List, while adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate as a technical partner to broaden its appeal. A surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and its separation from the Southern Islamic Movement have been finalized, positioning Ra'am as the more pragmatic Arab option open to coalition talks. Multiple right-wing petitions to disqualify the list remain before the Central Elections Committee, though similar challenges have historically failed at the High Court. These factors, alongside steady Arab turnout expectations, anchor the current market distribution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$2,109Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ra'am's polling has stabilized near five seats in recent surveys ahead of the October 27 election, placing its projected vote share most often in the 4-4.75% band that leads trader pricing. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the reconstituted Joint List, while adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its slate as a technical partner to broaden its appeal. A surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and its separation from the Southern Islamic Movement have been finalized, positioning Ra'am as the more pragmatic Arab option open to coalition talks. Multiple right-wing petitions to disqualify the list remain before the Central Elections Committee, though similar challenges have historically failed at the High Court. These factors, alongside steady Arab turnout expectations, anchor the current market distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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