Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas, between four and six Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable but limited support among Arab voters amid competition from the Joint List. Legal petitions filed by right-wing parties seek to disqualify Ra'am and other Arab lists before the Central Elections Committee, with hearings ongoing and appeals possible, adding uncertainty over ballot access. A recent surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am’s August primary have shaped its list, yet projections remain clustered because Arab-sector turnout and broader coalition arithmetic continue to fluctuate within narrow margins. These factors sustain the tight distribution across four-, five-, and six-seat outcomes in trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4 28%
5 27%
6 24.8%
7 14.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<4
12%
4
28%
5
27%
6
25%
7
16%
8+
5%
4 28%
5 27%
6 24.8%
7 14.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$1,118 Обс.
12%
4
$1,827 Обс.
28%
5
$1,439 Обс.
27%
6
$1,617 Обс.
25%
7
$1,127 Обс.
16%
8+
$940 Обс.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas, between four and six Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable but limited support among Arab voters amid competition from the Joint List. Legal petitions filed by right-wing parties seek to disqualify Ra'am and other Arab lists before the Central Elections Committee, with hearings ongoing and appeals possible, adding uncertainty over ballot access. A recent surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am’s August primary have shaped its list, yet projections remain clustered because Arab-sector turnout and broader coalition arithmetic continue to fluctuate within narrow margins. These factors sustain the tight distribution across four-, five-, and six-seat outcomes in trader consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,067Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas, between four and six Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable but limited support among Arab voters amid competition from the Joint List. Legal petitions filed by right-wing parties seek to disqualify Ra'am and other Arab lists before the Central Elections Committee, with hearings ongoing and appeals possible, adding uncertainty over ballot access. A recent surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am’s August primary have shaped its list, yet projections remain clustered because Arab-sector turnout and broader coalition arithmetic continue to fluctuate within narrow margins. These factors sustain the tight distribution across four-, five-, and six-seat outcomes in trader consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$8,067Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Ra'am, running independently under Mansour Abbas, between four and six Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting stable but limited support among Arab voters amid competition from the Joint List. Legal petitions filed by right-wing parties seek to disqualify Ra'am and other Arab lists before the Central Elections Committee, with hearings ongoing and appeals possible, adding uncertainty over ballot access. A recent surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am’s August primary have shaped its list, yet projections remain clustered because Arab-sector turnout and broader coalition arithmetic continue to fluctuate within narrow margins. These factors sustain the tight distribution across four-, five-, and six-seat outcomes in trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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