Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a modest statewide edge has kept Collin County competitive in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, with traders pricing his county win probability slightly above even. Ken Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by late endorsements, left him with lingering vulnerabilities from prior legal issues and lower fundraising, while Talarico benefits from substantial outside spending and stronger suburban appeal in North Texas. Collin County's shift toward narrower Republican margins in recent cycles, combined with independent voter concerns over economic conditions, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming debates and targeted advertising in the final weeks could widen or close gaps before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
54%
Ken Paxton (R)
38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$1,208 ปริมาณ
54%
Ken Paxton (R)
$989 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a modest statewide edge has kept Collin County competitive in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, with traders pricing his county win probability slightly above even. Ken Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by late endorsements, left him with lingering vulnerabilities from prior legal issues and lower fundraising, while Talarico benefits from substantial outside spending and stronger suburban appeal in North Texas. Collin County's shift toward narrower Republican margins in recent cycles, combined with independent voter concerns over economic conditions, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming debates and targeted advertising in the final weeks could widen or close gaps before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,197วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a modest statewide edge has kept Collin County competitive in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, with traders pricing his county win probability slightly above even. Ken Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by late endorsements, left him with lingering vulnerabilities from prior legal issues and lower fundraising, while Talarico benefits from substantial outside spending and stronger suburban appeal in North Texas. Collin County's shift toward narrower Republican margins in recent cycles, combined with independent voter concerns over economic conditions, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming debates and targeted advertising in the final weeks could widen or close gaps before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,197วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling showing James Talarico holding a modest statewide edge has kept Collin County competitive in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, with traders pricing his county win probability slightly above even. Ken Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by late endorsements, left him with lingering vulnerabilities from prior legal issues and lower fundraising, while Talarico benefits from substantial outside spending and stronger suburban appeal in North Texas. Collin County's shift toward narrower Republican margins in recent cycles, combined with independent voter concerns over economic conditions, sustains the tight positioning. Upcoming debates and targeted advertising in the final weeks could widen or close gaps before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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