James Talarico holds a strong implied probability in Tarrant County due to recent statewide polling showing him competitive or ahead overall, including a September Mason-Dixon survey placing him at 46% to Ken Paxton's 43% with the Dallas-Fort Worth region tied at 45%. Talarico has consolidated Democratic support while drawing independents, women, younger voters, and Hispanic voters at higher rates than Paxton, who relies more heavily on rural and older white Republican strongholds. Paxton's primary win in the county reflected intra-party dynamics rather than general election strength, and Talarico's record fundraising plus targeted suburban outreach have positioned him favorably in this key battleground area ahead of November 3. Other candidates and write-ins remain long shots in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
90%
Ken Paxton (R)
10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$4,763 ปริมาณ
90%
Ken Paxton (R)
$229 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds a strong implied probability in Tarrant County due to recent statewide polling showing him competitive or ahead overall, including a September Mason-Dixon survey placing him at 46% to Ken Paxton's 43% with the Dallas-Fort Worth region tied at 45%. Talarico has consolidated Democratic support while drawing independents, women, younger voters, and Hispanic voters at higher rates than Paxton, who relies more heavily on rural and older white Republican strongholds. Paxton's primary win in the county reflected intra-party dynamics rather than general election strength, and Talarico's record fundraising plus targeted suburban outreach have positioned him favorably in this key battleground area ahead of November 3. Other candidates and write-ins remain long shots in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,992วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds a strong implied probability in Tarrant County due to recent statewide polling showing him competitive or ahead overall, including a September Mason-Dixon survey placing him at 46% to Ken Paxton's 43% with the Dallas-Fort Worth region tied at 45%. Talarico has consolidated Democratic support while drawing independents, women, younger voters, and Hispanic voters at higher rates than Paxton, who relies more heavily on rural and older white Republican strongholds. Paxton's primary win in the county reflected intra-party dynamics rather than general election strength, and Talarico's record fundraising plus targeted suburban outreach have positioned him favorably in this key battleground area ahead of November 3. Other candidates and write-ins remain long shots in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,992วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico holds a strong implied probability in Tarrant County due to recent statewide polling showing him competitive or ahead overall, including a September Mason-Dixon survey placing him at 46% to Ken Paxton's 43% with the Dallas-Fort Worth region tied at 45%. Talarico has consolidated Democratic support while drawing independents, women, younger voters, and Hispanic voters at higher rates than Paxton, who relies more heavily on rural and older white Republican strongholds. Paxton's primary win in the county reflected intra-party dynamics rather than general election strength, and Talarico's record fundraising plus targeted suburban outreach have positioned him favorably in this key battleground area ahead of November 3. Other candidates and write-ins remain long shots in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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