New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$112,273 ปริมาณ
$112,273 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
6%
$112,273 ปริมาณ
$112,273 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
$49,697 ปริมาณ
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$62,575 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,273วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,273วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s substantial Democratic voter enrollment edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent have anchored trader consensus around her reelection on November 3. Independent polls through August consistently showed her ahead by double digits statewide, supported by fundraising dominance, endorsements across the party spectrum, and policy emphasis on child care expansion and insurance costs. Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has improved name recognition and performed better in suburban and upstate samples in some campaign-commissioned surveys, yet trails significantly in New York City. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout swings remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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