Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning him as the favorite in polling averages that show a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open Senate seat. The race, viewed as a toss-up by forecasters like the Cook Political Report, centers on El-Sayed’s progressive base versus Rogers’ emphasis on experience as a former congressman and FBI agent, with recent attacks at the RNC convention targeting El-Sayed’s associations and policy positions. Fundraising strength for both candidates and Michigan’s status as a battleground—where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024—have kept the contest competitive ahead of the November 3 election, with trader consensus reflecting the modest Democratic polling edge amid ongoing attacks and undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$708,438 ปริมาณ
$708,438 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
63%
Mike Rogers (R)
37%
$708,438 ปริมาณ
$708,438 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$390,839 ปริมาณ
63%
Mike Rogers (R)
$317,599 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning him as the favorite in polling averages that show a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open Senate seat. The race, viewed as a toss-up by forecasters like the Cook Political Report, centers on El-Sayed’s progressive base versus Rogers’ emphasis on experience as a former congressman and FBI agent, with recent attacks at the RNC convention targeting El-Sayed’s associations and policy positions. Fundraising strength for both candidates and Michigan’s status as a battleground—where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024—have kept the contest competitive ahead of the November 3 election, with trader consensus reflecting the modest Democratic polling edge amid ongoing attacks and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$708,438วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning him as the favorite in polling averages that show a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open Senate seat. The race, viewed as a toss-up by forecasters like the Cook Political Report, centers on El-Sayed’s progressive base versus Rogers’ emphasis on experience as a former congressman and FBI agent, with recent attacks at the RNC convention targeting El-Sayed’s associations and policy positions. Fundraising strength for both candidates and Michigan’s status as a battleground—where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024—have kept the contest competitive ahead of the November 3 election, with trader consensus reflecting the modest Democratic polling edge amid ongoing attacks and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$708,438วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow withdrew, positioning him as the favorite in polling averages that show a slim lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open Senate seat. The race, viewed as a toss-up by forecasters like the Cook Political Report, centers on El-Sayed’s progressive base versus Rogers’ emphasis on experience as a former congressman and FBI agent, with recent attacks at the RNC convention targeting El-Sayed’s associations and policy positions. Fundraising strength for both candidates and Michigan’s status as a battleground—where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024—have kept the contest competitive ahead of the November 3 election, with trader consensus reflecting the modest Democratic polling edge amid ongoing attacks and undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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