An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTennessee Senate Election: Turnout
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout
2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 31.9%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
38%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 31.9%
1.8M-2M 29.4%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
38%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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