The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Hinson secured the GOP nomination with strong Trump and party support, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million, and has rolled out endorsements from dozens of Iowa sheriffs emphasizing law enforcement and immigration priorities. Recent public polls, including an early September Emerson survey, show Hinson ahead by 5 points among likely voters, while Turek’s internal polling indicates a narrow lead driven by stronger independent support and personal favorability. Analysts rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November 3 general election outcome likely hinging on turnout and voter sentiment on economic issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$235,348 ปริมาณ
$235,348 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
66%
Josh Turek (D)
35%
$235,348 ปริมาณ
$235,348 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$123,397 ปริมาณ
66%
Josh Turek (D)
$111,951 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Hinson secured the GOP nomination with strong Trump and party support, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million, and has rolled out endorsements from dozens of Iowa sheriffs emphasizing law enforcement and immigration priorities. Recent public polls, including an early September Emerson survey, show Hinson ahead by 5 points among likely voters, while Turek’s internal polling indicates a narrow lead driven by stronger independent support and personal favorability. Analysts rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November 3 general election outcome likely hinging on turnout and voter sentiment on economic issues.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Hinson secured the GOP nomination with strong Trump and party support, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million, and has rolled out endorsements from dozens of Iowa sheriffs emphasizing law enforcement and immigration priorities. Recent public polls, including an early September Emerson survey, show Hinson ahead by 5 points among likely voters, while Turek’s internal polling indicates a narrow lead driven by stronger independent support and personal favorability. Analysts rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November 3 general election outcome likely hinging on turnout and voter sentiment on economic issues.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Hinson secured the GOP nomination with strong Trump and party support, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million, and has rolled out endorsements from dozens of Iowa sheriffs emphasizing law enforcement and immigration priorities. Recent public polls, including an early September Emerson survey, show Hinson ahead by 5 points among likely voters, while Turek’s internal polling indicates a narrow lead driven by stronger independent support and personal favorability. Analysts rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November 3 general election outcome likely hinging on turnout and voter sentiment on economic issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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