Idaho's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jim Risch. Risch secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 67% in the primary and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support, including a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after Achilles, a veteran and former state legislator running as an independent, consolidated opposition backing and raised substantial funds. Polling averages show Risch ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Risch's Senate Foreign Relations Committee role. An upset would require a major late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift within the final weeks before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrat 3.0%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,326 ปริมาณ
$33,326 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democrat
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrat 3.0%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,326 ปริมาณ
$33,326 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,749 ปริมาณ
96%
Democrat
$14,402 ปริมาณ
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jim Risch. Risch secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 67% in the primary and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support, including a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after Achilles, a veteran and former state legislator running as an independent, consolidated opposition backing and raised substantial funds. Polling averages show Risch ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Risch's Senate Foreign Relations Committee role. An upset would require a major late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift within the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,326วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jim Risch. Risch secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 67% in the primary and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support, including a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after Achilles, a veteran and former state legislator running as an independent, consolidated opposition backing and raised substantial funds. Polling averages show Risch ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Risch's Senate Foreign Relations Committee role. An upset would require a major late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift within the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,326วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jim Risch. Risch secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with over 67% in the primary and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support, including a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The Democratic nominee withdrew in July after Achilles, a veteran and former state legislator running as an independent, consolidated opposition backing and raised substantial funds. Polling averages show Risch ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Risch's Senate Foreign Relations Committee role. An upset would require a major late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift within the final weeks before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย