**Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8, 2026, defeating progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by roughly 31 percentage points (64.6% to 33.2%).** This outcome aligns with trader consensus pricing the 30–35% victory margin range at 98.4%. Pappas’s commanding position stemmed from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, broad endorsements from retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, Sen. Maggie Hassan, and former Vice President Kamala Harris, plus high name recognition as a four-term congressman. Manzur, a political newcomer, mobilized some progressive support on issues including healthcare and foreign policy but could not close the gap in a low-turnout primary featuring several minor candidates. Official certification of results remains the primary outstanding factor for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPappas 30–35% 98.3%
Pappas 35–40% 2.9%
Pappas 25–30% 2.9%
Pappas 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 ปริมาณ
$6,345 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40%
3%
Pappas 30–35%
98%
Pappas 25–30%
3%
Pappas 20–25%
3%
Pappas 15–20%
3%
Pappas 10–15%
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 98.3%
Pappas 35–40% 2.9%
Pappas 25–30% 2.9%
Pappas 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 ปริมาณ
$6,345 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,831 ปริมาณ
2%
Pappas 35–40%
$305 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 30–35%
$480 ปริมาณ
98%
Pappas 25–30%
$373 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 15–20%
$854 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 10–15%
$411 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
$384 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
$363 ปริมาณ
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.**Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8, 2026, defeating progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by roughly 31 percentage points (64.6% to 33.2%).** This outcome aligns with trader consensus pricing the 30–35% victory margin range at 98.4%. Pappas’s commanding position stemmed from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, broad endorsements from retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, Sen. Maggie Hassan, and former Vice President Kamala Harris, plus high name recognition as a four-term congressman. Manzur, a political newcomer, mobilized some progressive support on issues including healthcare and foreign policy but could not close the gap in a low-turnout primary featuring several minor candidates. Official certification of results remains the primary outstanding factor for market resolution.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,345วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.**Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8, 2026, defeating progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by roughly 31 percentage points (64.6% to 33.2%).** This outcome aligns with trader consensus pricing the 30–35% victory margin range at 98.4%. Pappas’s commanding position stemmed from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, broad endorsements from retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, Sen. Maggie Hassan, and former Vice President Kamala Harris, plus high name recognition as a four-term congressman. Manzur, a political newcomer, mobilized some progressive support on issues including healthcare and foreign policy but could not close the gap in a low-turnout primary featuring several minor candidates. Official certification of results remains the primary outstanding factor for market resolution.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,345วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8, 2026, defeating progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by roughly 31 percentage points (64.6% to 33.2%).** This outcome aligns with trader consensus pricing the 30–35% victory margin range at 98.4%. Pappas’s commanding position stemmed from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, broad endorsements from retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, Sen. Maggie Hassan, and former Vice President Kamala Harris, plus high name recognition as a four-term congressman. Manzur, a political newcomer, mobilized some progressive support on issues including healthcare and foreign policy but could not close the gap in a low-turnout primary featuring several minor candidates. Official certification of results remains the primary outstanding factor for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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