Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
85%
Mike Rogers (R)
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$914 ปริมาณ
85%
Mike Rogers (R)
$736 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,651วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,651วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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