Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages and her confirmation as the party's top candidate alongside Bia Kicis. Recent Datafolha surveys show her at 21% overall (34% on first preference), ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%, with gains since August. Official PL endorsement in August, combined with her profile as former first lady and party infrastructure, has consolidated support among conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Lower probabilities for other names reflect limited polling traction and fragmented opposition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichelle Bolsonaro 84%
Leila do Vôlei 6.7%
Bia Kicis 1.6%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,662 ปริมาณ
$28,662 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
84%
Leila do Vôlei
7%
Bia Kicis
2%
Erika Kokay
1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 84%
Leila do Vôlei 6.7%
Bia Kicis 1.6%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$28,662 ปริมาณ
$28,662 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Michelle Bolsonaro
$12,392 ปริมาณ
84%
Leila do Vôlei
$4,387 ปริมาณ
7%
Bia Kicis
$4,333 ปริมาณ
2%
Erika Kokay
$2,026 ปริมาณ
1%
Avenir Rosa
$801 ปริมาณ
<1%
David Horn
$505 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$794 ปริมาณ
<1%
Marley
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$795 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$674 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$556 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tiago
$489 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zanata
$530 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages and her confirmation as the party's top candidate alongside Bia Kicis. Recent Datafolha surveys show her at 21% overall (34% on first preference), ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%, with gains since August. Official PL endorsement in August, combined with her profile as former first lady and party infrastructure, has consolidated support among conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Lower probabilities for other names reflect limited polling traction and fragmented opposition.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,662วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages and her confirmation as the party's top candidate alongside Bia Kicis. Recent Datafolha surveys show her at 21% overall (34% on first preference), ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%, with gains since August. Official PL endorsement in August, combined with her profile as former first lady and party infrastructure, has consolidated support among conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Lower probabilities for other names reflect limited polling traction and fragmented opposition.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,662วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in the Federal District Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages and her confirmation as the party's top candidate alongside Bia Kicis. Recent Datafolha surveys show her at 21% overall (34% on first preference), ahead of Leila do Vôlei (PDT) at 18% and Erika Kokay (PT) at 14%, with gains since August. Official PL endorsement in August, combined with her profile as former first lady and party infrastructure, has consolidated support among conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Lower probabilities for other names reflect limited polling traction and fragmented opposition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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