**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–1.4 million votes for Connecticut’s November 3, 2026 gubernatorial election because midterm turnout typically falls between presidential-year highs near 1.8 million and off-year lows near 1.3 million.** Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont’s strong approval and easy primary win have prompted standard Democratic mobilization, while Republican challenger Ryan Fazio’s campaign focuses on affordability and property taxes. Recent adoption of no-excuse absentee voting and expanded early voting provide structural support for moderate participation, yet the absence of a presidential contest and Connecticut’s large independent electorate keep enthusiasm and mobilization effects uncertain. Recent primary participation and ongoing canvassing efforts have not yet produced clear signals of elevated or depressed general-election turnout, leaving the two leading ranges nearly even.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วConnecticut Governor Election: Turnout
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
1.3M-1.4M 42%
1.2M-1.3M 37%
1.4M-1.5M 9%
1.1M-1.2M 8%
<1M
1%
1M-1.1M
3%
1.1M-1.2M
8%
1.2M-1.3M
37%
1.3M-1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.5M
9%
1.5M-1.6M
4%
1.6M+
4%
1.3M-1.4M 42%
1.2M-1.3M 37%
1.4M-1.5M 9%
1.1M-1.2M 8%
<1M
1%
1M-1.1M
3%
1.1M-1.2M
8%
1.2M-1.3M
37%
1.3M-1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.5M
9%
1.5M-1.6M
4%
1.6M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–1.4 million votes for Connecticut’s November 3, 2026 gubernatorial election because midterm turnout typically falls between presidential-year highs near 1.8 million and off-year lows near 1.3 million.** Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont’s strong approval and easy primary win have prompted standard Democratic mobilization, while Republican challenger Ryan Fazio’s campaign focuses on affordability and property taxes. Recent adoption of no-excuse absentee voting and expanded early voting provide structural support for moderate participation, yet the absence of a presidential contest and Connecticut’s large independent electorate keep enthusiasm and mobilization effects uncertain. Recent primary participation and ongoing canvassing efforts have not yet produced clear signals of elevated or depressed general-election turnout, leaving the two leading ranges nearly even.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?
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