Louisiana's November 3 general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow, heavily favored after her June runoff victory, against Democrat Jamie Davis in a solidly Republican state. Trader consensus centers on the 1.2M-1.3M turnout range amid expectations of subdued participation typical of low-competition contests. Primary and runoff voting earlier this year posted notably low participation—around 17% statewide in the June runoffs—reflecting limited enthusiasm under the new semi-closed party primary rules. With no major campaign developments or national events driving mobilization in recent weeks, reduced Democratic turnout and steady but unexceptional Republican participation appear to anchor probabilities around mid-1.2 million total ballots. Historical midterm patterns in the state further support moderate overall engagement absent a tighter race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLouisiana Senate Election: Turnout
Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
1.2M-1.3M 36%
1.4M-1.5M 18%
1.3M-1.4M 14.1%
1.7M+ 10.3%
<1.1M
7%
1.1M-1.2M
1%
1.2M-1.3M
36%
1.3M-1.4M
14%
1.4M-1.5M
18%
1.5M-1.6M
5%
1.6M-1.7M
6%
1.7M+
10%
1.2M-1.3M 36%
1.4M-1.5M 18%
1.3M-1.4M 14.1%
1.7M+ 10.3%
<1.1M
7%
1.1M-1.2M
1%
1.2M-1.3M
36%
1.3M-1.4M
14%
1.4M-1.5M
18%
1.5M-1.6M
5%
1.6M-1.7M
6%
1.7M+
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Louisiana's November 3 general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow, heavily favored after her June runoff victory, against Democrat Jamie Davis in a solidly Republican state. Trader consensus centers on the 1.2M-1.3M turnout range amid expectations of subdued participation typical of low-competition contests. Primary and runoff voting earlier this year posted notably low participation—around 17% statewide in the June runoffs—reflecting limited enthusiasm under the new semi-closed party primary rules. With no major campaign developments or national events driving mobilization in recent weeks, reduced Democratic turnout and steady but unexceptional Republican participation appear to anchor probabilities around mid-1.2 million total ballots. Historical midterm patterns in the state further support moderate overall engagement absent a tighter race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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