The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas Senate Election: Turnout
Kansas Senate Election: Turnout
1.2M+ 23%
1.1M-1.2M 22%
1M-1.1M 18%
900K-1M 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
<1%
800K-900K
6%
900K-1M
19%
1M-1.1M
32%
1.1M-1.2M
22%
1.2M+
23%
1.2M+ 23%
1.1M-1.2M 22%
1M-1.1M 18%
900K-1M 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
$983 ปริมาณ
<1%
800K-900K
$121 ปริมาณ
6%
900K-1M
$66 ปริมาณ
19%
1M-1.1M
$65 ปริมาณ
32%
1.1M-1.2M
$988 ปริมาณ
22%
1.2M+
$386 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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