Recent polling in Amapá's October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one seat while Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues remain statistically tied for the second, with combined first- and second-preference shares often within a few points and margins of error overlapping. Incumbents Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe (PT) draw on established voter bases and distinct coalitions, yet Furlan's momentum and lower rejection ratings have compressed opportunities for separation. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters, final alliance consolidations, and any movement in second-preference flows could still alter the narrow gap between the two frontrunners for second place, consistent with the market's close pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRandolfe 45%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,468 ปริมาณ
$16,468 ปริมาณ

Randolfe
45%

Lucas Barreto
38%

Alliny Serrão
7%

Capi
4%

Professor Uzian Pinto
4%

Acácio Favacho
3%

Juíza Jô
3%

Rayssa Furlan
6%

Helio Silva
1%
Randolfe 45%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,468 ปริมาณ
$16,468 ปริมาณ

Randolfe
45%

Lucas Barreto
38%

Alliny Serrão
7%

Capi
4%

Professor Uzian Pinto
4%

Acácio Favacho
3%

Juíza Jô
3%

Rayssa Furlan
6%

Helio Silva
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amapá's October 4 Senate race shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one seat while Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues remain statistically tied for the second, with combined first- and second-preference shares often within a few points and margins of error overlapping. Incumbents Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe (PT) draw on established voter bases and distinct coalitions, yet Furlan's momentum and lower rejection ratings have compressed opportunities for separation. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among undecided voters, final alliance consolidations, and any movement in second-preference flows could still alter the narrow gap between the two frontrunners for second place, consistent with the market's close pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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