Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце октября?
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
Z.ai 9.3%
OpenAI 8%
$24,004 Объем
$24,004 Объем

Moonshot
41%

SpaceXAI
11%

Z.ai
9%

OpenAI
8%

6%

Microsoft
4%

Alibaba
4%

Xiaomi
5%

Anthropic
4%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
Z.ai 9.3%
OpenAI 8%
$24,004 Объем
$24,004 Объем

Moonshot
41%

SpaceXAI
11%

Z.ai
9%

OpenAI
8%

6%

Microsoft
4%

Alibaba
4%

Xiaomi
5%

Anthropic
4%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

ByteDance
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and benchmark gains in agentic capabilities—multi-step reasoning, tool use, orchestration, and long-horizon task performance—have created a tight race for third-best AI agent lab by end-October. Moonshot’s K3 and related agent swarms deliver strong cost-efficient results, while OpenAI’s public Agents API beta and internal agent productivity metrics bolster its position. Anthropic’s Claude Code Projects update for parallel cloud agents, Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.8 Live extensions, and Z.ai’s open-weight GLM releases add competitive pressure. Chinese labs emphasize pricing and open performance, U.S. labs focus on reliability and ecosystem integration, and heavy funding rounds like Cognition’s underscore rapid iteration. Low odds for many established names reflect thinner recent agent-specific momentum ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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