Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus and lifting business activity to 61.7 alongside new orders at 60.9, has anchored trader-implied probabilities around the 53–55 range for the September reading. Persistent expansion in services demand contrasts with employment contraction at 47.8 and elevated prices paid near 72.6 amid tariff pressures and Middle East supply-chain disruptions. The closely matched outcome bins reflect uncertainty over whether summer seasonality and resilient activity sustain momentum or yield to the 12-month average near 53.7 given cautious hiring. The early-October release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and inflation trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОт 53,0 до 53,9 28%
54,0–54,9 21%
55,0 до 55,9 17.7%
От 57,0 до 57,9 16.4%
$16,249 Объем
$16,249 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
1%
51,0–51,9
1%
52,0 – 52,9
4%
От 53,0 до 53,9
28%
54,0–54,9
21%
55,0 до 55,9
18%
От 56,0 до 56,9
11%
От 57,0 до 57,9
16%
58,0–58,9
7%
59,0+
1%
От 53,0 до 53,9 28%
54,0–54,9 21%
55,0 до 55,9 17.7%
От 57,0 до 57,9 16.4%
$16,249 Объем
$16,249 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
$913 Объем
1%
51,0–51,9
$189 Объем
1%
52,0 – 52,9
$207 Объем
4%
От 53,0 до 53,9
$2,022 Объем
28%
54,0–54,9
$6,588 Объем
21%
55,0 до 55,9
$528 Объем
18%
От 56,0 до 56,9
$818 Объем
11%
От 57,0 до 57,9
$4,523 Объем
16%
58,0–58,9
$222 Объем
7%
59,0+
$239 Объем
1%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus and lifting business activity to 61.7 alongside new orders at 60.9, has anchored trader-implied probabilities around the 53–55 range for the September reading. Persistent expansion in services demand contrasts with employment contraction at 47.8 and elevated prices paid near 72.6 amid tariff pressures and Middle East supply-chain disruptions. The closely matched outcome bins reflect uncertainty over whether summer seasonality and resilient activity sustain momentum or yield to the 12-month average near 53.7 given cautious hiring. The early-October release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and inflation trends.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$16,249Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus and lifting business activity to 61.7 alongside new orders at 60.9, has anchored trader-implied probabilities around the 53–55 range for the September reading. Persistent expansion in services demand contrasts with employment contraction at 47.8 and elevated prices paid near 72.6 amid tariff pressures and Middle East supply-chain disruptions. The closely matched outcome bins reflect uncertainty over whether summer seasonality and resilient activity sustain momentum or yield to the 12-month average near 53.7 given cautious hiring. The early-October release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and inflation trends.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$16,249Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus and lifting business activity to 61.7 alongside new orders at 60.9, has anchored trader-implied probabilities around the 53–55 range for the September reading. Persistent expansion in services demand contrasts with employment contraction at 47.8 and elevated prices paid near 72.6 amid tariff pressures and Middle East supply-chain disruptions. The closely matched outcome bins reflect uncertainty over whether summer seasonality and resilient activity sustain momentum or yield to the 12-month average near 53.7 given cautious hiring. The early-October release will test these dynamics against broader labor-market and inflation trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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