Elevated inflation at 6.2% year-over-year in August 2026, well above Banco de la República’s 2-4% target band, combined with analyst expectations revised to 6.8% for December 2026, anchors trader sentiment toward no change at the October meeting. Persistent price pressures from minimum-wage indexation, food and energy costs, and strong domestic demand have kept the policy rate at 12% since mid-year hikes, with markets pricing a 76.5% implied probability of holding steady versus limited odds of a 25 basis point move. Recent central bank surveys and analyst polls reinforce a cautious stance ahead of the next data releases, as real rates remain restrictive while inflation convergence to target appears delayed into 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 77%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 12%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 7%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п. 5.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
7%
Без изменений
77%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
12%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п.
6%
Без изменений 77%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 12%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 7%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п. 5.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
$323 Объем
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
$1,013 Объем
7%
Без изменений
$2,570 Объем
77%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
$584 Объем
12%
Повышение на более чем 50 б.п.
$906 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Elevated inflation at 6.2% year-over-year in August 2026, well above Banco de la República’s 2-4% target band, combined with analyst expectations revised to 6.8% for December 2026, anchors trader sentiment toward no change at the October meeting. Persistent price pressures from minimum-wage indexation, food and energy costs, and strong domestic demand have kept the policy rate at 12% since mid-year hikes, with markets pricing a 76.5% implied probability of holding steady versus limited odds of a 25 basis point move. Recent central bank surveys and analyst polls reinforce a cautious stance ahead of the next data releases, as real rates remain restrictive while inflation convergence to target appears delayed into 2027.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Объем
$5,395Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Elevated inflation at 6.2% year-over-year in August 2026, well above Banco de la República’s 2-4% target band, combined with analyst expectations revised to 6.8% for December 2026, anchors trader sentiment toward no change at the October meeting. Persistent price pressures from minimum-wage indexation, food and energy costs, and strong domestic demand have kept the policy rate at 12% since mid-year hikes, with markets pricing a 76.5% implied probability of holding steady versus limited odds of a 25 basis point move. Recent central bank surveys and analyst polls reinforce a cautious stance ahead of the next data releases, as real rates remain restrictive while inflation convergence to target appears delayed into 2027.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Объем
$5,395Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation at 6.2% year-over-year in August 2026, well above Banco de la República’s 2-4% target band, combined with analyst expectations revised to 6.8% for December 2026, anchors trader sentiment toward no change at the October meeting. Persistent price pressures from minimum-wage indexation, food and energy costs, and strong domestic demand have kept the policy rate at 12% since mid-year hikes, with markets pricing a 76.5% implied probability of holding steady versus limited odds of a 25 basis point move. Recent central bank surveys and analyst polls reinforce a cautious stance ahead of the next data releases, as real rates remain restrictive while inflation convergence to target appears delayed into 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Оставит ли Центральный банк Колумбии процентную ставку по монетарной политике без изменений на сентябрьском заседании?
55%
Да
Снизит ли Банк Бразилии целевой уровень ставки Selic на 25 б.п. на ноябрьском заседании?
63%
Да
Оставит ли Банк Бразилии целевой уровень ставки Selic без изменений на декабрьском заседании?
53%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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