Waymo’s current 15-city U.S. robotaxi footprint, built through rapid 2026 launches including Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas in September, has not shifted trader consensus toward higher totals by year-end. The market-implied odds favoring under 12 cities reflect regulatory approval bottlenecks, the strict definition of commercial paid service in distinct metros, and the pace needed to convert announced testing into fully driverless operations before December 31. Recent fleet scaling with sixth-generation vehicles on Zeekr and Hyundai platforms, plus Uber partnerships, supports steady but measured growth rather than an accelerated push past 15. Key upcoming catalysts include further California county expansions and potential Las Vegas scaling, though historical timelines suggest limited additional cities will clear all hurdles in the final quarter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВ скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?
В скольких городах Waymo будет работать до 31 декабря?
<12 61.5%
12-15 31.4%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,962 Объем
$124,962 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<12
62%
12-15
31%
16-19
7%
20-23
<1%
24-27
<1%
28-31
<1%
32+
<1%
<12 61.5%
12-15 31.4%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,962 Объем
$124,962 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<12
$17,384 Объем
62%
12-15
$40,164 Объем
31%
16-19
$24,998 Объем
7%
20-23
$16,708 Объем
<1%
24-27
$14,029 Объем
<1%
28-31
$6,481 Объем
<1%
32+
$5,199 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s current 15-city U.S. robotaxi footprint, built through rapid 2026 launches including Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas in September, has not shifted trader consensus toward higher totals by year-end. The market-implied odds favoring under 12 cities reflect regulatory approval bottlenecks, the strict definition of commercial paid service in distinct metros, and the pace needed to convert announced testing into fully driverless operations before December 31. Recent fleet scaling with sixth-generation vehicles on Zeekr and Hyundai platforms, plus Uber partnerships, supports steady but measured growth rather than an accelerated push past 15. Key upcoming catalysts include further California county expansions and potential Las Vegas scaling, though historical timelines suggest limited additional cities will clear all hurdles in the final quarter.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$124,962Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s current 15-city U.S. robotaxi footprint, built through rapid 2026 launches including Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas in September, has not shifted trader consensus toward higher totals by year-end. The market-implied odds favoring under 12 cities reflect regulatory approval bottlenecks, the strict definition of commercial paid service in distinct metros, and the pace needed to convert announced testing into fully driverless operations before December 31. Recent fleet scaling with sixth-generation vehicles on Zeekr and Hyundai platforms, plus Uber partnerships, supports steady but measured growth rather than an accelerated push past 15. Key upcoming catalysts include further California county expansions and potential Las Vegas scaling, though historical timelines suggest limited additional cities will clear all hurdles in the final quarter.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$124,962Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s current 15-city U.S. robotaxi footprint, built through rapid 2026 launches including Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas in September, has not shifted trader consensus toward higher totals by year-end. The market-implied odds favoring under 12 cities reflect regulatory approval bottlenecks, the strict definition of commercial paid service in distinct metros, and the pace needed to convert announced testing into fully driverless operations before December 31. Recent fleet scaling with sixth-generation vehicles on Zeekr and Hyundai platforms, plus Uber partnerships, supports steady but measured growth rather than an accelerated push past 15. Key upcoming catalysts include further California county expansions and potential Las Vegas scaling, though historical timelines suggest limited additional cities will clear all hurdles in the final quarter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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