Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Texas governor race due to the state's long Republican dominance in statewide contests, his strong primary performance, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 20-to-1 in cash on hand. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single-digit margins or ties on issues including education funding, cost of living, and border security, with Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa gaining among Hispanic voters and some independents. Traders continue pricing Abbott's structural advantages—incumbency in a state last won by Democrats in 1990 and control over legislative priorities like redistricting—more heavily than the compressed head-to-head numbers. Key upcoming factors include turnout in suburban and border areas ahead of the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Техаса
Победитель выборов губернатора Техаса
$94,087 Объем
$94,087 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
81%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
19%
$94,087 Объем
$94,087 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
$41,239 Объем
81%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
$52,848 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Texas governor race due to the state's long Republican dominance in statewide contests, his strong primary performance, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 20-to-1 in cash on hand. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single-digit margins or ties on issues including education funding, cost of living, and border security, with Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa gaining among Hispanic voters and some independents. Traders continue pricing Abbott's structural advantages—incumbency in a state last won by Democrats in 1990 and control over legislative priorities like redistricting—more heavily than the compressed head-to-head numbers. Key upcoming factors include turnout in suburban and border areas ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$94,087Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Texas governor race due to the state's long Republican dominance in statewide contests, his strong primary performance, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 20-to-1 in cash on hand. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single-digit margins or ties on issues including education funding, cost of living, and border security, with Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa gaining among Hispanic voters and some independents. Traders continue pricing Abbott's structural advantages—incumbency in a state last won by Democrats in 1990 and control over legislative priorities like redistricting—more heavily than the compressed head-to-head numbers. Key upcoming factors include turnout in suburban and border areas ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$94,087Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Texas governor race due to the state's long Republican dominance in statewide contests, his strong primary performance, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 20-to-1 in cash on hand. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single-digit margins or ties on issues including education funding, cost of living, and border security, with Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa gaining among Hispanic voters and some independents. Traders continue pricing Abbott's structural advantages—incumbency in a state last won by Democrats in 1990 and control over legislative priorities like redistricting—more heavily than the compressed head-to-head numbers. Key upcoming factors include turnout in suburban and border areas ahead of the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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