Abdul El-Sayed holds a trader consensus edge in Michigan’s open Senate seat after narrowly winning the August 4 Democratic primary over Haley Stevens. The race to replace retiring incumbent Gary Peters pits El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers, the unopposed nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling averages place the contest in a statistical dead heat, with El-Sayed at 46-47% and Rogers at 44-45%, consistent with toss-up ratings from most forecasters. El-Sayed draws stronger support among younger voters, college-educated Democrats, and Black voters, while Rogers leads among independents and older cohorts. The November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in this battleground state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Мичигана
Победитель выборов в Сенат Мичигана
$713,808 Объем
$713,808 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
64%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
37%
$713,808 Объем
$713,808 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
$393,383 Объем
64%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
$320,425 Объем
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a trader consensus edge in Michigan’s open Senate seat after narrowly winning the August 4 Democratic primary over Haley Stevens. The race to replace retiring incumbent Gary Peters pits El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers, the unopposed nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling averages place the contest in a statistical dead heat, with El-Sayed at 46-47% and Rogers at 44-45%, consistent with toss-up ratings from most forecasters. El-Sayed draws stronger support among younger voters, college-educated Democrats, and Black voters, while Rogers leads among independents and older cohorts. The November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$713,808Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds a trader consensus edge in Michigan’s open Senate seat after narrowly winning the August 4 Democratic primary over Haley Stevens. The race to replace retiring incumbent Gary Peters pits El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers, the unopposed nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling averages place the contest in a statistical dead heat, with El-Sayed at 46-47% and Rogers at 44-45%, consistent with toss-up ratings from most forecasters. El-Sayed draws stronger support among younger voters, college-educated Democrats, and Black voters, while Rogers leads among independents and older cohorts. The November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$713,808Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed holds a trader consensus edge in Michigan’s open Senate seat after narrowly winning the August 4 Democratic primary over Haley Stevens. The race to replace retiring incumbent Gary Peters pits El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers, the unopposed nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent polling averages place the contest in a statistical dead heat, with El-Sayed at 46-47% and Rogers at 44-45%, consistent with toss-up ratings from most forecasters. El-Sayed draws stronger support among younger voters, college-educated Democrats, and Black voters, while Rogers leads among independents and older cohorts. The November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in this battleground state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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