The solidly Democratic character of California's 29th congressional district, rated D+20 by multiple forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic outcome. After the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas, both Democrats, the November 3 general election features no Republican candidate. Fundraising data, primary vote shares exceeding 75 percent combined for the Democratic contenders, and historical results in this San Fernando Valley seat further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the result remain limited to extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention before certification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$30,702 Объем
$30,702 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
4%
$30,702 Объем
$30,702 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,204 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$17,498 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of California's 29th congressional district, rated D+20 by multiple forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic outcome. After the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas, both Democrats, the November 3 general election features no Republican candidate. Fundraising data, primary vote shares exceeding 75 percent combined for the Democratic contenders, and historical results in this San Fernando Valley seat further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the result remain limited to extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$30,702Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of California's 29th congressional district, rated D+20 by multiple forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic outcome. After the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas, both Democrats, the November 3 general election features no Republican candidate. Fundraising data, primary vote shares exceeding 75 percent combined for the Democratic contenders, and historical results in this San Fernando Valley seat further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the result remain limited to extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$30,702Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of California's 29th congressional district, rated D+20 by multiple forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic outcome. After the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Luz Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas, both Democrats, the November 3 general election features no Republican candidate. Fundraising data, primary vote shares exceeding 75 percent combined for the Democratic contenders, and historical results in this San Fernando Valley seat further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the result remain limited to extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention before certification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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