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icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира

Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира

Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира

Polymarket

$99,756 Объем

Polymarket

$99,756 Объем

icon for Крис Паппас (Д)

Крис Паппас (Д)

$68,032 Объем

83%

icon for Джон Э. Сунин (Р)

Джон Э. Сунин (Р)

$31,724 Объем

18%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Chris Pappas leads the New Hampshire Senate race at 83% on Polymarket following the September 8 primaries, where he secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 65% against Karishma Manzur, while John E. Sununu won the Republican side decisively over Scott Brown.** The open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has produced one of the cycle’s tighter contests for Senate control. Polling averages show Pappas ahead by only about 2 points, with individual surveys fluctuating between a slight Democratic edge and near ties or narrow Sununu leads. Sununu benefits from strong name recognition, family political ties in the state, and Trump’s endorsement, positioning Republicans for a potential pickup in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2010. Pappas draws on his House incumbency, moderate positioning, and Shaheen’s backing. The market’s Democratic tilt reflects these structural factors and historical leanings despite the narrow polling margins and the race’s importance to overall chamber control.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$99,756
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Chris Pappas leads the New Hampshire Senate race at 83% on Polymarket following the September 8 primaries, where he secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 65% against Karishma Manzur, while John E. Sununu won the Republican side decisively over Scott Brown.** The open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has produced one of the cycle’s tighter contests for Senate control. Polling averages show Pappas ahead by only about 2 points, with individual surveys fluctuating between a slight Democratic edge and near ties or narrow Sununu leads. Sununu benefits from strong name recognition, family political ties in the state, and Trump’s endorsement, positioning Republicans for a potential pickup in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2010. Pappas draws on his House incumbency, moderate positioning, and Shaheen’s backing. The market’s Democratic tilt reflects these structural factors and historical leanings despite the narrow polling margins and the race’s importance to overall chamber control.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$99,756
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Крис Паппас (Д)» с 83%, за ним следует «Джон Э. Сунин (Р)» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $99.8K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира» — «Крис Паппас (Д)» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джон Э. Сунин (Р)» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Гэмпшира» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.