Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to unified GOP support following his primary victory and endorsements from former Senator Steve Daines and President Trump. Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar continue to split center-left and independent voters, with recent polls showing Alme ahead by 8–16 points amid consistent double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Bankhead’s refusal to exit has drawn criticism from party figures seeking consolidation behind Bodnar. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or major shift in independent turnout could narrow the gap, though current polling aggregates and structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Монтаны
Победитель выборов в Сенат Монтаны
Курт Алме (Р) 91%
Независимый 7.6%
Алани Банкхед (Д) <1%
$118,364 Объем
$118,364 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Курт Алме (Р)
91%
Независимый
8%
Алани Банкхед (Д)
1%
Курт Алме (Р) 91%
Независимый 7.6%
Алани Банкхед (Д) <1%
$118,364 Объем
$118,364 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Курт Алме (Р)
$59,671 Объем
91%
Независимый
$18,015 Объем
8%
Алани Банкхед (Д)
$40,679 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to unified GOP support following his primary victory and endorsements from former Senator Steve Daines and President Trump. Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar continue to split center-left and independent voters, with recent polls showing Alme ahead by 8–16 points amid consistent double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Bankhead’s refusal to exit has drawn criticism from party figures seeking consolidation behind Bodnar. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or major shift in independent turnout could narrow the gap, though current polling aggregates and structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$118,364Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to unified GOP support following his primary victory and endorsements from former Senator Steve Daines and President Trump. Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar continue to split center-left and independent voters, with recent polls showing Alme ahead by 8–16 points amid consistent double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Bankhead’s refusal to exit has drawn criticism from party figures seeking consolidation behind Bodnar. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or major shift in independent turnout could narrow the gap, though current polling aggregates and structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$118,364Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in Montana’s open Senate race due to unified GOP support following his primary victory and endorsements from former Senator Steve Daines and President Trump. Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar continue to split center-left and independent voters, with recent polls showing Alme ahead by 8–16 points amid consistent double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Bankhead’s refusal to exit has drawn criticism from party figures seeking consolidation behind Bodnar. A late withdrawal by Bankhead or major shift in independent turnout could narrow the gap, though current polling aggregates and structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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