Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
$111,823 Объем
$111,823 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
93%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
8%
$111,823 Объем
$111,823 Объем
Эшли Муди (Р)
$56,363 Объем
93%
Энджи Никсон (Д)
$55,461 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Объем
$111,823Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$111,823Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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