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icon for Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место

Ренан 39%

Артур Лира 38%

Марина JHC 24%

Дэви Давино Фильо 2.9%

Polymarket

$24,841 Объем

Ренан 39%

Артур Лира 38%

Марина JHC 24%

Дэви Давино Фильо 2.9%

Polymarket

$24,841 Объем

icon for Ренан

Ренан

$9,474 Объем

39%

icon for Артур Лира

Артур Лира

$6,158 Объем

38%

icon for Марина JHC

Марина JHC

$5,248 Объем

24%

icon for Дэви Давино Фильо

Дэви Давино Фильо

$1,076 Объем

3%

icon for Доктор Вандерлей

Доктор Вандерлей

$1,406 Объем

1%

icon for Александр Флеминг

Александр Флеминг

$716 Объем

<1%

icon for Марьедсон

Марьедсон

$763 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in Alagoas shows Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB) statistically tied within the margin of error for the state’s two Senate seats, with combined first-and-second-choice support clustered in the mid-to-high teens to low 20s percent range as of late August.** Each voter selects two candidates on October 4, 2026, which amplifies the importance of vote combinations and second preferences. Longstanding factional rivalries between the Lira- and Calheiros-aligned groups, substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 20–30 percent), and shifting alliances keep the contest for second place especially fluid. Trader pricing reflects this tight clustering, with Renan and Lira near parity ahead of Marina and lower-polling names; further coalition moves, campaign momentum, or turnout shifts among key blocs could alter the ordering before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$24,841
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in Alagoas shows Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB) statistically tied within the margin of error for the state’s two Senate seats, with combined first-and-second-choice support clustered in the mid-to-high teens to low 20s percent range as of late August.** Each voter selects two candidates on October 4, 2026, which amplifies the importance of vote combinations and second preferences. Longstanding factional rivalries between the Lira- and Calheiros-aligned groups, substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 20–30 percent), and shifting alliances keep the contest for second place especially fluid. Trader pricing reflects this tight clustering, with Renan and Lira near parity ahead of Marina and lower-polling names; further coalition moves, campaign momentum, or turnout shifts among key blocs could alter the ordering before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$24,841
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Артур Лира наибольшее количество голосов на выборах в сенат Алагоаса в 2026 году?

Получит ли Артур Лира наибольшее количество голосов на выборах в сенат Алагоаса в 2026 году?

47%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Венециано второе место по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Параибы в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Венециано второе место по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Параибы в 2026 году?

71%
Да
icon for Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

40%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ренан» с 39%, за ним следует «Артур Лира» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $24.8K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место» — «Ренан» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Артур Лира» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Алагоаса: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.