Google and Meta hold the strongest market-implied odds for finishing as the #3 AI lab by end of October, reflecting their distinct competitive edges in large language model scaling and deployment. Google benefits from integrated Gemini advancements and enterprise reach, while Meta's open-weight Llama releases continue driving developer adoption and ecosystem momentum. Lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, and others highlight the gap in recent demonstrated capabilities and user traction needed to close on the top tier. With resolution weeks away, traders are watching for any late model updates, benchmark shifts, or regulatory moves that could alter relative positioning among the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено#3 Лаборатория ИИ в конце октября? (Управление стилем включено)
#3 Лаборатория ИИ в конце октября? (Управление стилем включено)
Google 34%
Meta 29%
OpenAI 7.6%
Alibaba 7%
$41,996 Объем
$41,996 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
34%
Meta
29%
OpenAI
8%
Alibaba
7%
Anthropic
6%
Moonshot
5%
Mistral
5%
Z.ai
4%
Baidu
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Tencent
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 34%
Meta 29%
OpenAI 7.6%
Alibaba 7%
$41,996 Объем
$41,996 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
$17,847 Объем
34%
Meta
$6,678 Объем
29%
OpenAI
$4,722 Объем
8%
Alibaba
$5,387 Объем
7%
Anthropic
$614 Объем
6%
Moonshot
$469 Объем
5%
Mistral
$437 Объем
5%
Z.ai
$345 Объем
4%
Baidu
$345 Объем
4%
SpaceXAI
$326 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$324 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$522 Объем
1%
Tencent
$427 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$541 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$440 Объем
1%
Nvidia
$392 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$377 Объем
1%
Meituan
$562 Объем
1%
StepFun
$392 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$409 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$440 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta hold the strongest market-implied odds for finishing as the #3 AI lab by end of October, reflecting their distinct competitive edges in large language model scaling and deployment. Google benefits from integrated Gemini advancements and enterprise reach, while Meta's open-weight Llama releases continue driving developer adoption and ecosystem momentum. Lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, and others highlight the gap in recent demonstrated capabilities and user traction needed to close on the top tier. With resolution weeks away, traders are watching for any late model updates, benchmark shifts, or regulatory moves that could alter relative positioning among the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Объем
$41,996Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta hold the strongest market-implied odds for finishing as the #3 AI lab by end of October, reflecting their distinct competitive edges in large language model scaling and deployment. Google benefits from integrated Gemini advancements and enterprise reach, while Meta's open-weight Llama releases continue driving developer adoption and ecosystem momentum. Lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, and others highlight the gap in recent demonstrated capabilities and user traction needed to close on the top tier. With resolution weeks away, traders are watching for any late model updates, benchmark shifts, or regulatory moves that could alter relative positioning among the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$41,996Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Google and Meta hold the strongest market-implied odds for finishing as the #3 AI lab by end of October, reflecting their distinct competitive edges in large language model scaling and deployment. Google benefits from integrated Gemini advancements and enterprise reach, while Meta's open-weight Llama releases continue driving developer adoption and ecosystem momentum. Lower odds for OpenAI, Anthropic, and others highlight the gap in recent demonstrated capabilities and user traction needed to close on the top tier. With resolution weeks away, traders are watching for any late model updates, benchmark shifts, or regulatory moves that could alter relative positioning among the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы